Commentaries

2024 is More Polarized Than 2020. Trump Will Lose by a Larger Margin.
Phuket Island, Thailand, October 28th, 2024.
Salaroche

Donald Trump doesn’t speak to all Americans whenever he opens his insidious, malodorous mouth. We can all hear the unhinged, despicable lunacies that he usually vomits, but only the hypnotized, thoughtless Maga hordes interpret all that nonsense as anything semi-rational enough to deserve throwing the whole country down the toilet in his name.

Trump hasn’t been trying to convert any non-Maga Americans to his Fascist camp. Quite to the contrary, he has been calling all of us pro-Democracy Americans, including you and me, “the enemy within”, thereby reaffirming our conviction that he is perfectly unfit to be the 47th President of the United Sates.

Actually, given the increasing madness Trump has been recently demonstrating, there may already be considerable numbers of ex-Maga fanatics who have silently dropped off the religious Maga wagon. The thing being that the pro-Trump needle hasn’t moved any further in his favor, while it has only moved a bit in the opposite direction.

This means that if the voter landscape we had in the 2020 elections is similar to the electoral panorama we’re looking at in 2024, Trump should lose by a margin of at least 7 million popular votes and by some 74 Electoral College votes, although the latter is much more uncertain than the former.

But 2024 is much more polarized than 2020 was, which means that many voters who might have abstained or might have even voted for Trump in 2020, may now be fired up in the face of the imminent threat that a 2nd Trump presidency represents to the survival of our Democratic and Judicial Systems, so that they might have already voted or will vote for Kamala Harris just to keep the Trumpian Fascist threat at bay, at least as far as the 2024 elections are concerned.

Just consider that many lifelong Republicans of renown such as Liz Cheney and others who voted for Trump in 2020, are now even actively campaigning against him. No doubt 2024 is a much more polarized year than 2020 was, but such polarization doesn’t translate into more votes for Trump. Quite the contrary.

In 2020, Joe Biden got 81,283,501 popular votes to Trump’s 74,223,975, marking a 7,059,526 margin in Biden’s favor. Joe Biden also got 306 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 232, marking a 74 Electoral College margin also in Biden’s favor. Given the current high level of polarization we have in 2024, the margins in favor of Kamala Harris should be even higher.

Unfortunately, however, no matter how wide the margins against Trump may end-up being, no one should be as naïve as to expect that Trump and the Republicans will concede defeat. There’s just no way that their “superior DNA” (ha) may have endowed them with any such level of basic decency and honesty, or any such level of basic respect for the Constitution, or even any such minimal level of basic love for the United States of America. Shame on all of them.

--- Please vote Democrat across the board on or before November 5th.


Salaroche

BottomNavBarDown_01.jpgBottomNavBarDown_03.jpgBottomNavBarDown_05.jpgBottomNavBarDown_07.jpgBottomNavBarDown_09.jpgBottomNavBarDown_09.jpgBottomNavBarDown_13.jpg